Gunnar Henderson has been batting leadoff for the Baltimore Orioles, but that role might not last long. The issue is especially sharp at Camden Yards, where the young star's power profile clashes with the traditional leadoff job.
The Orioles have tried Henderson at the top of the order to get their best hitter more plate appearances. But the numbers suggest a different story when he leads off at home.
What does the data say about Gunnar Henderson leading off?
Henderson's splits show a clear gap. At Camden Yards, his on-base percentage as a leadoff man sits well below his overall mark. The park's dimensions and his own aggressive approach combine to create a problem.
He swings hard early in counts. That works when he connects, but it leads to fewer walks and shorter at-bats. A leadoff hitter needs to see pitches and get on base. Henderson wants to do damage.
Why is Camden Yards a problem for this strategy?
Camden Yards plays fair, but it's not a pitcher's park. Henderson's power is real — he hit 28 homers in 2024. But leading off, he often faces the opponent's best starter in the first inning.
Those pitchers attack him with breaking balls away. Henderson chases more than he should. The result is quick outs and wasted opportunities for the heart of the order behind him.
What comes next for Gunnar Henderson and the Orioles?
Manager Brandon Hyde has options. He could move Henderson to the No. 2 or No. 3 spot, where his power plays better with runners on base. Colton Cowser or Jordan Westburg could take over leadoff duties.
The Orioles are fighting for the AL East crown. Every lineup decision matters. Henderson is too valuable to let a bad fit drag down his production.
For now, the experiment continues. But if the trend holds, expect a change soon. Henderson's bat is too dangerous to waste on weak grounders to second base.